Financial Professionals


Upcoming Macro Data


The final week of March presents several important U.S. economic data reports.

Friday April 1st  looms large with both the U.S. ISM and monthly U.S. unemployment report. I expect multiple analysts to comically compare any favorable data releases to April Fool's Day. Let's dismiss that flawed comical attempt, just as the actual data has dismissed the pessimistic views ever since September 2010.

In fact the 6 charts below highlight how improving economic data, released early in the month, provides the foundation for robust Equity market appreciation in the first half of each month in every case except November 2010. Until proven otherwise "The Macro Data still matters".

Thursday March 31 9:45am Chicago PMI consensus estimate 69.7 previous 71.2
Friday April 1 8:30am U.S. Unemployment


8.9% 8.9%


+190,000 +192,000

Private Sector

+225,000 +222,000
Friday April 1  10am U.S. ISM Manufacturing  61.0 61.4

SP 500 Index - September 2010

Source: Bloomberg 

SP 500 Index - October 2010

Source: Bloomberg

SP 500 Index - November 2010

Source: Bloomberg

SP 500 Index - December 2010

Source: Bloomberg

SP 500 Index - January 2011

Source: Bloomberg

SP 500 Index - February 2011

Source: Bloomberg

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Virtus Investment Partners provides this communication as a matter of general information. The opinions stated herein are those of the author and not necessarily the opinions of Virtus, its affiliates or its subadvisers. Portfolio managers at Virtus make investment decisions in accordance with specific client guidelines and restrictions. As a result, client accounts may differ in strategy and composition from the information presented herein. Any facts and statistics quoted are from sources believed to be reliable, but they may be incomplete or condensed and we do not guarantee their accuracy. This communication is not an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any security, and it is not a research report. Individuals should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.