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Q1 2016: Happy Birthday?

04/11/2016
The S&P 500® bull market notched its 7th anniversary in Q1 2016. It has more than tripled off of its March 2009 bottom. Hardly anyone is celebrating, however. That’s because nearly all major asset classes have had significant drawdowns over the past year.

Virtus VitalSigns-Asset Class Returns and Drawdowns Over the Past Year

1Source: Morningstar Direct. Period shown is 4/1/2015–3/31/2016. See following page for definitions.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.



Asset Classes: Large-Cap Equities represented by the S&P 500® Index; Foreign Equities by the MSCI EAFE® Index; Small-Cap Equities by the Russell 2000® Index; Emerging Markets by the MSCI EM Index; U.S. Bonds by the Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index; High-Yield Bonds by the Barclays Global High Yield Index; Commodities by the Bloomberg Commodity Index; and Real Estate by the FTSE NAREIT Equity REITs Index.

Sectors: Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) sectors are Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Energy, Financials, Health Care, Industrials, Information Technology, Telecommunications Services, Materials, and Utilities.

Countries: Brazil, Japan, Germany, Taiwan, Italy, U.K., South Korea, Australia, Mexico, Spain, China, and Canada are down 20% or more. Remaining countries are Switzerland, Hong Kong, and India.

The Diversified Portfolio assumes the following weights: 25% in the S&P 500®, 10% in the Russell 2000®, 15% in the MSCI EAFE®, 5% in the MSCI EM, 25% in the Barclays U.S. Aggregate, 5% in the Barclays 1-3m Treasury, 5% in the Barclays Global High Yield Index, 5% in the Bloomberg Commodity Index, and 5% in the NAREIT Equity REITs Index. Assumes annual rebalancing. Data represents total return for stated period. The Diversified Portfolio is not representative of any Virtus portfolio. Investors should consult their financial professional to identify suitable portfolio allocations. There is no guarantee that a diversified portfolio will outperform a non-diversified portfolio, or that diversification among different asset classes reduces risk.

Index Definitions—The S&P 500® Index is a free-float market-capitalization weighted index of 500 of the largest U.S. companies. The index is calculated on a total return basis with dividends reinvested. The Barclays U.S. Aggregate Index represents securities that are SEC-registered, taxable, and dollar denominated. The index covers the U.S. investment grade fixed rate bond market, with index components for government and corporate securities, mortgage pass-through securities, and asset-backed securities. These major sectors are subdivided into more specific indexes that are calculated and reported on a regular basis. The Russell 2000® Index is a market capitalization-weighted index of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell Universe, which comprises the 3,000 largest U.S. companies. The MSCI EAFE® Index (net) is a free-float-adjusted market-capitalization weighted index that measures developed foreign market equity performance, excluding the U.S. and Canada. The index is calculated on a total return basis with net dividends reinvested. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index (net) is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index designed to measure equity market performance in the global emerging markets. The index is calculated on a total return basis with net dividends reinvested. The Barclays 1-3 Month U.S. Treasury Bill Index includes all publicly issued zero-coupon U.S. Treasury Bills that have a remaining maturity of less than 3 months and more than 1 month, are rated investment grade, and have $250 million or more of outstanding face value. In addition, the securities must be denominated in U.S. dollars and must be fixed rate and non convertible. The Barclays Global High Yield Index is a multi-currency flagship measure of the global high yield debt market. The index represents the union of the US High Yield, the Pan-European High Yield, and Emerging Markets (EM) Hard Currency High Yield Indices. The high yield and emerging markets sub-components are mutually exclusive. Until January 1, 2011, the index also
included CMBS high yield securities. The Bloomberg Commodity Index is composed of futures contracts on physical commodities and represents 22 separate commodities traded on U.S. exchanges, with the exception of aluminum, nickel, and zinc. The FTSE NAREIT Equity REITs Index is designed to provide the most comprehensive assessment of overall industry performance, and includes all tax-qualified real estate investment trusts (REITs) that are listed on the NYSE, the American Stock Exchange or the NASDAQ National Market List. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average of 30 significant stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ. The NASDAQ Composite Index is the market-capitalization weighted index of the more than 3,000 common equities listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. The index includes all NASDAQ listed stocks that are not derivatives, preferred shares, funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or debentures. The MSCI AC World Index (net) is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index that measures equity performance of developed and emerging markets. The index is calculated on a total return basis with net dividends reinvested. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average is a price-weighted index comprised of Japan’s top 225 blue-chip companies on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The MSCI China Index captures large and mid cap representation across China H shares, B shares, Red chips and P chips. With 155 constituents, the index covers about 85% of this China equity universe. The indexes are unmanaged, their returns do not reflect any fees, expenses, or sales charges, and they are not available for direct investment.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Virtus Investment Partners provides this communication as a matter of general information. The opinions stated herein are those of the author and not necessarily the opinions of Virtus, its affiliates or its subadvisers. Portfolio managers at Virtus make investment decisions in accordance with specific client guidelines and restrictions. As a result, client accounts may differ in strategy and composition from the information presented herein. Any facts and statistics quoted are from sources believed to be reliable, but they may be incomplete or condensed and we do not guarantee their accuracy. This communication is not an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any security, and it is not a research report. Individuals should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.