Owning equities had been fairly easy during the long, strong bull market of the past 10 years. But March changed the landscape.
Brief and colorful insights focused on major market trends.
Ten years may sound like “long term” investing, unless you’re talking about the 10 years ended September 30, 2019. Without the bear market of 2008-09 in your time frame, the view becomes incredibly rosy. A 20-year lookback provides much-needed perspective.
Staying invested whether the markets are trending up, down, or staying flat is easier said than done. A diversified portfolio of managers who seek to deliver a smoother ride may help keep you from getting exercised about market gyrations.
We’ve recently experienced a market in which the rising tide of global central bank easing has lifted virtually all boats. With everything going up regardless of price or quality, has diversification through active management lost its sheen? The rolling returns for the S&P 500� Index provide a crystal-clear illustration of the reality of market cycles.
2018 marked the first down year for the U.S. equity market since 2008. The 2009-2017 stretch ties as the longest annual winning streak in market history. Until the fourth quarter, markets were buoyant, but political instability at home and abroad, rising interest rates, and a potential growth slowdown rattled global markets. Other than cash, all asset classes ranged between flat and down.
A picture is worth a thousand words. In each issue, we present one insight on a range of market, investment strategy, and behavioral topics. The 1000 Words Series is designed to provoke insightful and memorable conversations.
History has shown that double-digit losses in equities have tended to be followed by periods of above-average performance. Having already suffered the decline, investors may be well-advised to stick around for the recovery.
A globally diversified portfolio is important for those seeking strong investment performance. Diversification, however, is only effective when an investor is willing to own markets that have fallen “behind.”
Following the intense volatility of the great crisis in 2008-09, the bull market was mostly smooth sailing for a decade. The ebb and flow of volatility fits a broad historical pattern going back many decades. We do not know where the market will be tomorrow, next year, or next decade. Even so, investors should be respectful of long-standing market rhythms.
Market leadership changes from year to year and predicting the winning style is impossible. These tables highlight the importance of diversification.
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